CFB Zeitgeist PK Score
Awaiting
Lucas Carneiro
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ole Miss for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
PK · Ole Miss
Returning around him
- 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16
PK · OLE MISS · SEC
Lucas Carneiro
- 3
- #17
- 5-11 | 190 lb
- Cornelius, NC
Heisman Heat
#15924
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP K AWARD
Lou Groza
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR02 · Deep reserve
Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lucas Carneiro
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lucas Carneiro
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Lucas Carneiro already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
OTHER season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 15 games
| Wk | Opp | FGM/FGA | LONG | XP | PTS | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 63-7vs Georgia State | 2/2 | 42 | 4/4 | 10 | |
| Wk 2 | W 30-23@ Kentucky | 3/4 | 43 | 3/3 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-35vs Arkansas | 2/2 | 36 | 5/5 | 11 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-10vs Tulane | 3/3 | 54 | 4/4 | 13 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-19vs LSU | 1/1 | 25 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-21vs Washington State | 1/2 | 40 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | L 35-43@ Georgia | 0/0 | 0 | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-26@ Oklahoma | 4/4 | 45 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Wk 10 | W 30-14vs South Carolina | 3/3 | 34 | 3/3 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | W 49-0vs The Citadel | 0/0 | 0 | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Wk 12 | W 34-24vs Florida | 2/2 | 27 | 4/4 | 10 | |
| Wk 14 | W 38-19@ Mississippi State | 1/2 | 43 | 5/5 | 8 | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Tulane | 2/2 | 48 | 5/5 | 11 | |
| Bowl | W 39-34@ Georgia | 3/3 | 56 | 2/2 | 11 | |
| Bowl | L 27-31vs Miami | 4/5 | 58 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Total | 31/35 | 58 | — | 149 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Western Kentucky8-5HC: Tyson Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kicking | Kicking points | 149 | #1/221 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking LONG | 58 | #3/175 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking XPA | 56 | #10/213 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking XPM | 56 | #10/213 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | Kicking FGA | 35 | #1/188 | 100th pct | Metricvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | FG made | 31 | #1/175 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS peers |
| Kicking | FG % | 88.6% | #26/175 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS peers |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Groza award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 15 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home10g | — | — | — | — |
| Road5g | — | — | — | — |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins13g | — | — | — | — |
| Losses2g | — | — | — | — |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-79g | — | — | — | — |
| Weeks 8+6g | — | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · PK · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lane Kiffin
Pass share
48.2%
521 pass / 560 run
Plays / game
72.1
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
330 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCornelius, NC
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionPK
Jersey17
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOle Miss
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | K |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Western Kentucky | PK3 | #15924 | #15832 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Western Kentucky | PK3 | #15199 | #15140 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Western Kentucky | PK3 | #15310 | #15224 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ole Miss | SEC | PK | 3 | No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC |
| 2024 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | PK | 3 | No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC |
| 2023 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | PK | 3 | No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC |
| 2022 | Western Kentucky | Conference USA | PK | 3 | No. 17 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Cornelius, NC |