cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kemper Hodges /Air Force

Kemper Hodges

FB · Air Force · Jr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

207 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 49 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Air Force for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Fullback · Air Force

Returning around him

  • 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129

FB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Kemper Hodges

  • 3
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 245 lb
  • Santa Rosa Beach, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

22

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4119

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Air Force
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionFB
Class3
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 245 lb
HometownSanta Rosa Beach, FL
Primary teamAir Force

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4119Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4498Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kemper Hodges

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kemper Hodges

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
207Rush yards
49Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
29.6Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
384.4Rush yards
91Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 207): needs 90.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 207): needs 132.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 207): needs 215.5/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.8/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kemper Hodges's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Air Force, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4119 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 207 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns
Usage 13.1% Share of team offense
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 4L 37-49vs Boise State252.513
Wk 5L 35-44vs Hawai'i122.012
Wk 6L 31-34@ Navy111.001
Wk 11W 26-16@ San José State100.000
Wk 12L 16-26@ UConn10626.2018
Wk 13L 3-20vs New Mexico20502.5014
Wk 14W 42-21@ Colorado State14876.2127Season-high 87 yds
Total492072.9327
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 74 #1/15 100th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Attempts 14 #1/25 100th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Completions 6 #1/15 100th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Passing Yards / attempt 5.3 #11/15 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Completion % 42.9% #15/15 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/25 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS peers
Passing Pass TD 0 #2/25 96th pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Rushing Rushing yards 207 #1/53 100th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Carries 49 #1/50 100th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Rushing LONG 27 #1/29 100th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Rushing Yards / carry 4.2 #20/49 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Rushing Rush TD 3 #1/54 100th pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Defense Forced fumbles 1 #1/10 100th pct Takeawaysvs FBS peers
Usage 3rd-down usage 19.8% #1/6 100th pct Money-down loadvs FBS peers
Usage Pass share 16.5% #1/6 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS peers
Usage Passing-down usage 16.1% #1/6 100th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS peers
Usage Role share 13.1% #1/6 100th pct Share of team offensevs FBS peers
Usage Rush share 12.4% #1/6 100th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS peers
Usage Standard-down usage 12.1% #1/6 100th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS peers
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.5% #1/6 100th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS peers
Usage 1st-down usage 9.5% #2/6 83rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS peers
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #29/34 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g19.02.30.7
Road4g37.53.40.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g43.53.10.5
Losses5g24.02.80.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-73g2.71.80.7
Weeks 8+4g49.83.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the FB cohort

22Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (7th).

Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Long run#263 / 349 · 24th pct
27rush
Yards / carry#272 / 349 · 20th pct
4.2rush
Carries#314 / 349 · 9th pct
49rush
Rush yards#324 / 349 · 7th pct
207rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · FB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Kemper HodgesAir ForceTae MeadowsTroy· 55% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 52% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 52% sim
Fumbles lost
49
Hodges
49
Meadows
49
McGowan
49
Brunson
Rush TDs
38
Hodges
72
Meadows
94
McGowan
50
Brunson
Long run
24
Hodges
53
Meadows
11
McGowan
73
Brunson
Yards / carry
20
Hodges
29
Meadows
29
McGowan
41
Brunson
Carries
9
Hodges
84
Meadows
85
McGowan
85
Brunson
Rush yards
7
Hodges
74
Meadows
76
McGowan
80
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jakobi Buchanan’s 2020 season.

Jakobi Buchanan

86%match

Army · 2020

#2

Bryan Bradford

Kent State · 2021

77%
#3

Tyson Riley

Army · 2021

63%
#4

Joshua McCray

Illinois · 2024

61%
#5

Dawson Pendergrass

Baylor · 2023

57%

Matches Jakobi on

Yards / carry
Height
Weight

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kyle Porter’s path through Houston.

Kyle Porter

92%match

Houston · 2020

#2

Deon Jackson

Duke · 2020

90%
#3

Gary Brightwell

Arizona · 2020

NFL Rd 6
88%
#4

Carson Smith

Army · 2025

88%
#5

Darius Wilson

William & Mary · 2024

87%

Matches Kyle on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Bryan Bradford's sophomore season at Kent State (2021).

Bryan Bradford

84%match

Kent State · 2021

#2

Tyson Riley

Army · 2021

66%
#3

Tucker Gleason

Toledo · 2022

All-MAC
68%
#4

Qualan Jones

Baylor · 2022

67%
#5

Tavion Thomas

Utah · 2022

67%

Matches Bryan on

Class year
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Troy Calhoun

Pass share

20.0%

163 pass / 650 run

Plays / game

67.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.6%

151 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force

Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSanta Rosa Beach, FL
Height6'0"
Weight245 lb
Class3
PositionFB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Air Force FB3 #4119 #4498 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Air Force Mountain West FB 3 No. 4 | 6-0 | 245 lb | Santa Rosa Beach, FL
2024 Air Force Mountain West FB 3 No. 4 | 6-0 | 245 lb | Santa Rosa Beach, FL