cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Daniel Sparks /Virginia

Daniel Sparks

P · Virginia · Sr · #38

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Virginia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Punter · Virginia

Returning around him

  • 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +8 net (30 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Virginia · Last season: 11-3 (AP #20) · Talent rank #62 · 2026 recruiting class #58

P · VIRGINIA · ACC

Daniel Sparks

  • 4
  • #38
  • 6-6 | 217 lb
  • Gadsden, AL

CFB Zeitgeist P Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#15577

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP P AWARD

Ray Guy

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2022

2022

Virginia · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2023

Virginia · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Virginia · P

2025

Virginia · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Virginia
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionP
Class4
Jersey38
Measurements6-6 | 217 lb
HometownGadsden, AL
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15577Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15211Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Daniel Sparks

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Daniel Sparks

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Daniel Sparks already has 3 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #15577 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 5 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppPUNTYDSAVGLONGIN20Note
Wk 1W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina29648.0571
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State28844.0481
Wk 8W 22-20vs Washington State631853.0653
Wk 9W 17-16@ North Carolina839148.9562
Wk 10W 31-21@ California521442.8592
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest419749.3520
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke27738.5431
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech418145.3552
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke210150.5520
BowlW 13-7@ Missouri28241.0482
Total37174546.16514
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Virginia3-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2023Virginia3-9HC: Tony Elliott · Run-leaning
2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing LONG 5 #20/29 34th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Rushing Rushing yards 5 #20/53 64th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #17/49 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS peers
Rushing Carries 1 #9/50 84th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Rushing Rush TD 0 #5/54 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YDS 1,745 #100/179 45th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting LONG 65 #47/179 74th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YPP 47 #16/179 92nd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting NO 37 #109/179 40th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting IN 20 14 #82/166 51st pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting TB 4 #33/142 77th pct Metricvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home5g
Road5g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins7g
Losses3g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g
Weeks 8+7g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · P · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGadsden, AL
Height6'6"
Weight217 lb
Class4
PositionP
Jersey38

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

3 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-ACC all_conference Virginia | ACC P
2023 All-ACC all_conference Virginia | ACC P
2022 All-ACC all_conference Virginia | ACC P

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia P4 #15577 #15211 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia P4 #15919 #15945 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Virginia P4 #15302 #15325 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Minnesota P4 #14591 #14454 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC P 4 No. 38 | 6-6 | 217 lb | Gadsden, AL
2024 Virginia ACC P 4 No. 38 | 6-6 | 217 lb | Gadsden, AL
2023 Virginia ACC P 4 No. 38 | 6-6 | 217 lb | Gadsden, AL
2022 Virginia ACC P 4 No. 38 | 6-6 | 217 lb | Gadsden, AL
2021 Minnesota Big Ten P 4 No. 38 | 6-6 | 217 lb | Gadsden, AL