cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Alex Bacchetta /Rice

Alex Bacchetta

P · Rice · Jr · #91

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Rice → Georgia Tech for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Georgia Tech

2025Rice
2026Georgia Tech

P · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Alex Bacchetta

  • 3
  • #91
  • 6-2 | 230 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist P Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#16152

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP P AWARD

Ray Guy

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Penn State · P

2024

Rice · P

2025

Rice · P

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1794 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionP
Class3
Jersey91
Measurements6-2 | 230 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1794 recruit
Composite rating 0.8259 HighSchool
Signed with Penn State 2022
Origin Westminster School Atlanta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8259 No. 1794 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia Tech 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Rice -> Georgia Tech 3-star | Immediate
2024 Penn State -> Rice 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#16152Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#16160Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Penn State

Composite

0.8259

#1794 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Alex Bacchetta

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Alex Bacchetta

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Alex Bacchetta already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #16152 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

OTHER season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 0 Combined rushing and receiving
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns
Usage -- Role share still loading
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

This player profile will sharpen as more advanced context is loaded.

Balanced profile

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppPUNTYDSAVGLONGIN20Note
Wk 1W 14-12@ Louisiana625642.7562
Wk 2L 9-35vs Houston625943.2490
Wk 3W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M15151.0510
Wk 4W 28-17@ Charlotte627245.3550
Wk 5L 13-21@ Navy523146.2511
Wk 6L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic419047.5591
Wk 7L 13-61@ UTSA522545.0640
Wk 9W 37-34vs UConn729942.7561
Wk 10L 14-38vs Memphis629048.3591
Wk 11W 24-17vs UAB313043.3472
Wk 13L 24-56vs North Texas521643.2503
Wk 14L 3-52@ South Florida626043.3510
Total60267945.16411
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Solo tackles 1 #63/282 78th pct Volumevs FBS peers
Defense Total tackles 1 #109/388 72nd pct Volumevs FBS peers
Defense Sacks 0.0 #15/390 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Defense TFL 0.0 #20/390 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YDS 2,679 #24/179 87th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting LONG 64 #53/179 71st pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting NO 60 #23/179 88th pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting YPP 45 #52/179 72nd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting IN 20 11 #114/166 32nd pct Metricvs FBS peers
Punting Punting TB 4 #33/142 77th pct Metricvs FBS peers

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Ray Guy award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home7g
Road5g

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins5g
Losses7g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g
Weeks 8+5g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · P · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025
Scott Abell
Rice
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'2"
Weight230 lb
Class3
PositionP
Jersey91

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-AAC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-AAC all_conference Rice | AAC P

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice P3 #16152 #16160 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Penn State P3 #15149 #14420 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Penn State P3 #14602 #13977 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Rice American Athletic P 3 No. 91 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 Rice American Athletic P 3 No. 91 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 Penn State Big Ten P 3 No. 91 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Penn State Big Ten P 3 No. 91 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Atlanta, GA